Global Average Annual Temperature Maps

Produces maps of global temperature forecasts from the A1B and E1 scenarios.

The data used comes from the HadGEM2-AO model simulations for the A1B and E1 scenarios, both of which were derived using the IMAGE Integrated Assessment Model (Johns et al. 2011; Lowe et al. 2009).

References

Johns T.C., et al. (2011) Climate change under aggressive mitigation: the ENSEMBLES multi-model experiment. Climate Dynamics, Vol 37, No. 9-10, doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1005-5.

Lowe J.A., C.D. Hewitt, D.P. Van Vuuren, T.C. Johns, E. Stehfest, J-F. Royer, and P. van der Linden, 2009. New Study For Climate Modeling, Analyses, and Scenarios. Eos Trans. AGU, Vol 90, No. 21, doi:10.1029/2009EO210001.

import os.path

import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import numpy as np

import iris
import iris.coords as coords
import iris.plot as iplt


def cop_metadata_callback(cube, field, filename):
    """
    A function which adds an "Experiment" coordinate which comes from the
    filename.
    """

    # Extract the experiment name (such as a1b or e1) from the filename (in
    # this case it is just the parent folder's name)
    containing_folder = os.path.dirname(filename)
    experiment_label = os.path.basename(containing_folder)

    # Create a coordinate with the experiment label in it
    exp_coord = coords.AuxCoord(
        experiment_label, long_name="Experiment", units="no_unit"
    )

    # and add it to the cube
    cube.add_aux_coord(exp_coord)


def main():
    # Load e1 and a1 using the callback to update the metadata
    e1 = iris.load_cube(
        iris.sample_data_path("E1.2098.pp"), callback=cop_metadata_callback
    )
    a1b = iris.load_cube(
        iris.sample_data_path("A1B.2098.pp"), callback=cop_metadata_callback
    )

    # Load the global average data and add an 'Experiment' coord it
    global_avg = iris.load_cube(iris.sample_data_path("pre-industrial.pp"))

    # Define evenly spaced contour levels: -2.5, -1.5, ... 15.5, 16.5 with the
    # specific colours
    levels = np.arange(20) - 2.5
    red = (
        np.array(
            [
                0,
                0,
                221,
                239,
                229,
                217,
                239,
                234,
                228,
                222,
                205,
                196,
                161,
                137,
                116,
                89,
                77,
                60,
                51,
            ]
        )
        / 256.0
    )
    green = (
        np.array(
            [
                16,
                217,
                242,
                243,
                235,
                225,
                190,
                160,
                128,
                87,
                72,
                59,
                33,
                21,
                29,
                30,
                30,
                29,
                26,
            ]
        )
        / 256.0
    )
    blue = (
        np.array(
            [
                255,
                255,
                243,
                169,
                99,
                51,
                63,
                37,
                39,
                21,
                27,
                23,
                22,
                26,
                29,
                28,
                27,
                25,
                22,
            ]
        )
        / 256.0
    )

    # Put those colours into an array which can be passed to contourf as the
    # specific colours for each level
    colors = np.array([red, green, blue]).T

    # Subtract the global

    # Iterate over each latitude longitude slice for both e1 and a1b scenarios
    # simultaneously
    for e1_slice, a1b_slice in zip(
        e1.slices(["latitude", "longitude"]),
        a1b.slices(["latitude", "longitude"]),
    ):

        time_coord = a1b_slice.coord("time")

        # Calculate the difference from the mean
        delta_e1 = e1_slice - global_avg
        delta_a1b = a1b_slice - global_avg

        # Make a wider than normal figure to house two maps side-by-side
        fig = plt.figure(figsize=(12, 5))

        # Get the time datetime from the coordinate
        time = time_coord.units.num2date(time_coord.points[0])
        # Set a title for the entire figure, giving the time in a nice format
        # of "MonthName Year". Also, set the y value for the title so that it
        # is not tight to the top of the plot.
        fig.suptitle(
            "Annual Temperature Predictions for " + time.strftime("%Y"),
            y=0.9,
            fontsize=18,
        )

        # Add the first subplot showing the E1 scenario
        plt.subplot(121)
        plt.title("HadGEM2 E1 Scenario", fontsize=10)
        iplt.contourf(delta_e1, levels, colors=colors, extend="both")
        plt.gca().coastlines()
        # get the current axes' subplot for use later on
        plt1_ax = plt.gca()

        # Add the second subplot showing the A1B scenario
        plt.subplot(122)
        plt.title("HadGEM2 A1B-Image Scenario", fontsize=10)
        contour_result = iplt.contourf(
            delta_a1b, levels, colors=colors, extend="both"
        )
        plt.gca().coastlines()
        # get the current axes' subplot for use later on
        plt2_ax = plt.gca()

        # Now add a colourbar who's leftmost point is the same as the leftmost
        # point of the left hand plot and rightmost point is the rightmost
        # point of the right hand plot

        # Get the positions of the 2nd plot and the left position of the 1st
        # plot
        left, bottom, width, height = plt2_ax.get_position().bounds
        first_plot_left = plt1_ax.get_position().bounds[0]

        # the width of the colorbar should now be simple
        width = left - first_plot_left + width

        # Add axes to the figure, to place the colour bar
        colorbar_axes = fig.add_axes([first_plot_left, 0.18, width, 0.03])

        # Add the colour bar
        cbar = plt.colorbar(
            contour_result, colorbar_axes, orientation="horizontal"
        )

        # Label the colour bar and add ticks
        cbar.set_label(e1_slice.units)
        cbar.ax.tick_params(length=0)

        iplt.show()


if __name__ == "__main__":
    main()